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Tuesday, November 07, 2006

The Death Blow

The fist of death

Associated Press Exit Polls: A Third Of Evangelicals Vote For Dems

The Associated Press has just posted a piece on its exit polls, and just like CNN's exit polls found, AP is finding that corruption is a key issue driving voters today. AP's exit numbers are also finding a surprisingly high number of evangelicals going Dem, a trend that many political analysts noted early in the cycle:

Those early exit polls also showed that three in four voters said corruption was very important to their vote, and they tended to vote Democratic. In a sign of a dispirited GOP base, most white evangelicals said corruption was very important to their vote — and almost a third of them turned to the Democrats.

AP also finds, unsurprisingly, that voters are heavily driven by the Iraq war:

Two out of three voters called the war very important to them and said they leaned toward the Democrats, while six in ten voters said they disapproved of the war. About the same number said they were dissatisfied with the president — and they were far more likely to vote Democratic.

This is the death blow. Those that showed up, voted Dem, or they stayed home. This also means that the GOP GOTV program crashed. Badly. Why? If the fundies don't run it, they have no shot.

Haggard was the last blow. Look, it's an insult to people, educated people, to tell them that God says being gay is a sin, and then found to be going to a rentboy. It's too much to deal with on top of Foley and Dobson's brain dead stupid defense of Foley. You don't think fundies know about sexual harassment? Please.

This isn't just a crack in the GOP strategy, it's a fucking flood. Bush was getting 70-80 percent of fundie votes before. The fact that one third said fuck it, presages something else, moderates may have defected in even larger numbers. This is a nightmare for the GOP and even worse for Bush specifically.

When he did his victory tour about his "mandate", he was as smug as the frat boy he is. Now, let's see how smug he is when his base turned to shit. They ran from him and his war. This is a wholesale rejection of him and his policies.

posted by Steve @ 9:07:00 PM

9:07:00 PM

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